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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Jumalon | 100% | +40 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Rami Hammoud | 0% | −32 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jamie Shaevel | 0% | −16 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Greg Mueller | 0% | −12 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Michael Gagliano | 0% | −10 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Mario Boos | 0% | −7 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Lauri Saaskilahti | 0% | −40 pts | −6 pts | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Han Feng | 0% | −18 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Evagoras Evagorou | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72d |  CosmicCedar | Lauri Saaskilahti | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,704 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 72d |  usurper553 fills | Lauri Saaskilahti | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $9,018 | +$1,997 +22% | 4 |
| 72d | gambooool | Lauri Saaskilahti | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,250 | +$750 +18% | 4 |
| 72d | cheer1os | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,109 | −$1,109 −100% | 4 |
| 72d | gambooool | Lauri Saaskilahti | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 4 |
| 72d |  LlamaLoco00002 fills | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $5,007 | +$3,233 +65% | 4 |
| 72d | Defiant-Measurement | Lauri Saaskilahti | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $6,778 | +$4,710 +69% | 4 |
| 72d | adfjo2 fills | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,569 | +$1,642 +64% | 4 |
| 72d | Inexperienced-Technician | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $7,571 | −$7,571 −100% | 4 |
| 72d | Jamiedwan | Lauri Saaskilahti | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 72d | Lawfulworm432 fills | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $4,832 | +$3,025 +63% | 4 |
| 72d | Oblong-Ticket2 fills | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $4,453 | +$2,847 +64% | 4 |
| 73d | loletrade | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,018 | −$1,018 −100% | 4 |
| 73d | redvinny2 fills | Lucas Jumalon | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | −$1,960 −67% | — |
| 73d | AlwaysTimed | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $2,135 | +$1,365 +64% | 4 |
| 73d | redvinny | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $11,425 | +$7,616 +67% | 4 |
| 73d | Pwaddler | Rami Hammoud | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$153 +7.5% | 4 |
| 73d | Pwaddler | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $2,690 | +$4,995 +186% | 4 |
| 73d | alfredbets | Michael Gagliano | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 73d | Zealous-Drive | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | −$2,600 −100% | 4 |
| 73d | cheer1os | Han Feng | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,175 | −$1,175 −100% | 4 |
| 73d | asdfasdf1111 | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,372 | −$1,372 −100% | 4 |
| 74d | gambooool | Lucas Jumalon | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $4,286 | −$6,993 −163% | — |
| 74d |  TheCatBurglar | Mario Boos | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$93 +7.0% | 4 |
| 74d | gambooool | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $3,858 | +$6,575 +170% | 4 |
| 74d |  JustADonk2 fills | Michael Gagliano | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,509 | +$586 +13% | 4 |
| 74d | JustADonk | Greg Mueller | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$165 +11% | 4 |
| 74d | moshito2 fills | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $4,207 | −$4,207 −100% | 4 |
| 74d | whatupdog | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,540 | −$1,540 −100% | 4 |
| 74d | boss777777 | Han Feng | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 4 |
| 74d | alfredbets | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 4 |
| 74d | TompokerNl | Lucas Jumalon | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$2,222 +178% | 4 |
| 75d |  Kettle | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $16,136 | −$16,136 −100% | 4 |
| 82d | Lawfulworm43 | Lucas Jumalon | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $2,087 | +$2,087 +100% | — |
| 82d | Lawfulworm43 | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,675 | −$1,675 −100% | 4 |
| 84d | Partyarty91 | Lucas Jumalon | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $15,800 | −$15,800 −100% | 4 |
| 89d | ndb1 | Han Feng | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,532 | +$317 +7.0% | 4 |
Kettle24,475 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, WSOP (via wsop.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lucas Jumalon means the market gives it about 100%.