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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 2 Winner | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 Winner | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Game Spread +/-5.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +88 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | mauro2727 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova>99¢ | $1,966 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | n1ck10s | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova>99¢ | $1,170 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | 0xa3ae…aca3 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | eokho | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova>99¢ | $1,681 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | 0xe4f8…8c9e | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova99¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 13d | itb08081982 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova99¢ → 100¢ | $4,854 | −$49 −1.0% | — |
| 13d | UpTheBlues4 fills | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova52¢ → 100¢ | $10,449 | +$9,721 +93% | 6 |
| 13d | HVAB | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova76¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | −$582 −31% | — |
| 13d |  tradecraft | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova74¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$523 +35% | 6 |
| 13d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka28¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | Flaznorp | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova75¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | +$839 +33% | 6 |
| 13d |  roro.cypher | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$500 −33% | — |
| 13d | HomeRunHazard | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka24¢ → 0¢ | $1,970 | −$1,970 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | phredmoz | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellAryna Sabalenka29¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | +$1,012 +100% | — |
| 13d | Polyplayer14 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellAryna Sabalenka32¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | +$1,103 +100% | — |
| 13d | HVAB | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova67¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$767 +49% | 6 |
| 13d | Substantial-Service | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka44¢ → 0¢ | $4,344 | −$4,344 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | mauro2727 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova51¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$968 +97% | 6 |
| 13d | 0x0d58…fb04 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka53¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | HomeRunHazard | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova47¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$1,166 +113% | 6 |
| 13d | phredmoz | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka57¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | SellNikola Bartunkova45¢ → 100¢ | $4,388 | −$5,363 −122% | — |
| 13d | Exalted-Evocation | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka51¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 13d |  TRCM | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova46¢ → 100¢ | $4,140 | +$4,860 +117% | 6 |
| 13d | flatbarrel | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova46¢ → 100¢ | $4,140 | +$4,860 +117% | 6 |
| 13d | itb08081982 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova37¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,703 +170% | 6 |
| 13d | DiversifiedBS | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka72¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | jtwyslljy2 fills | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova29¢ → 100¢ | $2,692 | +$6,658 +247% | 6 |
| 13d | Kkunn | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyNikola Bartunkova20¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$8,000 +400% | 6 |
| 13d | 0x0d58…fb04 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set 1 Winner | BuyNikola Bartunkova59¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$705 +70% | 6 |
| 13d | Polyplayer14 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka74¢ → 0¢ | $2,551 | −$2,551 −100% | 6 |
| 13d | 0F622 fills | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka77¢ → 0¢ | $8,464 | −$8,464 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | Caonima1 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka86¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 13d | KevinEZM427 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka86¢ → 0¢ | $18,000 | −$18,000 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka85¢ → 0¢ | $3,097 | −$3,097 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | 0x982f…4d1f | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyAryna Sabalenka63¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | VD721lsj4938Dk388 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka85¢ → 0¢ | $1,321 | −$1,321 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka | BuyAryna Sabalenka86¢ → 0¢ | $1,414 | −$1,414 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Aryna Sabalenka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Nikola Bartunkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Aryna Sabalenka means the market gives it about 100%.