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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +40 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 Winner | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 Winner | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Game Spread +/-2.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45d | greyner | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $1,262 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 45d | Daigiadinhngocson | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa>99¢ | $2,148 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 45d |  hd777 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa97¢ → 100¢ | $12,771 | +$409 +3.2% | 4 |
| 45d | greyner | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa97¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$38 +3.1% | 4 |
| 45d | Strict-Gather | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa93¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$85 +7.6% | 4 |
| 45d |  mooseborzoi3 fills | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa91¢ → 100¢ | $5,317 | +$526 +9.9% | 5 |
| 45d | Daigiadinhngocson | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$151 +7.5% | 4 |
| 45d | suntori | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa93¢ → 100¢ | $4,762 | +$358 +7.5% | 4 |
| 45d | Cbrojasg | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa91¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$121 −9.9% | — |
| 45d | omnibus-076daa | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa91¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$142 +9.9% | 5 |
| 45d | Substantial-Service | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyDaria Kasatkina7¢ → 0¢ | $10,216 | −$10,216 −100% | 6 |
| 45d | SharkVision | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa89¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | +$168 +12% | 5 |
| 45d | Cbrojasg | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa82¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$242 +22% | 5 |
| 45d | HomeRunHazard | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa81¢ → 100¢ | $3,324 | +$799 +24% | 5 |
| 45d | Mad-Wound | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa83¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$512 +20% | 5 |
| 45d | eokho3 fills | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | SellDaria Kasatkina41¢ → 0¢ | $9,150 | +$9,150 +100% | — |
| 45d | blinki | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | SellPaula Badosa54¢ → 100¢ | $2,812 | −$2,396 −85% | — |
| 45d | Substantial-Service | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa52¢ → 100¢ | $75,793 | +$69,963 +92% | 6 |
| 45d |  tradecraft | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa52¢ → 100¢ | $4,680 | +$4,320 +92% | 6 |
| 45d | blinki | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa52¢ → 100¢ | $2,708 | +$2,500 +92% | 6 |
| 45d | paquitomillonario | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyPaula Badosa58¢ → 100¢ | $2,816 | +$2,040 +72% | 6 |
| 45d | Sane-Locality | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyDaria Kasatkina55¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 45d | eokho3 fills | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyDaria Kasatkina49¢ → 0¢ | $10,720 | −$10,720 −100% | 6 |
| 45d | suleng66 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyDaria Kasatkina49¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 46d | kingflop2 fills | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa | BuyDaria Kasatkina46¢ → 0¢ | $6,192 | −$6,192 −100% | 6 |
Socialista3,600 shares
clownly600 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa means the market gives it about 0%.