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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 Winner | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 Winner | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +72 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Kkunn | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova>99¢ | $17,982 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Triplosettete | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova>99¢ | $1,277 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | gysh.qs | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova>99¢ | $1,239 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | mattjay | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova>99¢ | $1,512 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | 0xNuttawut | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova>99¢ | $3,456 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | suntori | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova>99¢ | $1,097 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova99¢ → 100¢ | $3,267 | −$33 −1.0% | — |
| 11d | highbloo | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova75¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | +$475 +33% | 6 |
| 11d | DomDomBom | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova82¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$395 +22% | 5 |
| 11d | PlayD332 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova89¢ → 100¢ | $14,016 | +$1,732 +12% | 5 |
| 11d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova52¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$1,584 +92% | 9 |
| 11d | Exalted-Evocation2 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka44¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 11d |  roro.cypher | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova52¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$960 −92% | — |
| 11d |  RN13 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka48¢ → 0¢ | $9,364 | −$9,364 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | JerOri | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova56¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | −$2,200 −79% | — |
| 11d | roro.cypher | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova67¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$660 +49% | 6 |
| 11d | RN13 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova62¢ → 100¢ | $16,932 | +$10,568 +62% | 6 |
| 11d | W.Yang911 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 5 |
| 11d | UpTheBlues6 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova66¢ → 100¢ | $10,121 | +$5,180 +51% | 6 |
| 11d | dmoralez | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova73¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | −$806 −38% | — |
| 11d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka38¢ → 0¢ | $5,123 | −$5,123 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka36¢ → 0¢ | $5,580 | −$5,580 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | manvsrice42 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 6 |
| 11d | dmoralez | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka79¢ → 0¢ | $1,370 | −$1,370 −100% | 5 |
| 11d | UpTheBlues2 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka73¢ → 0¢ | $4,708 | −$4,708 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | madkkee | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka77¢ → 0¢ | $1,121 | −$1,121 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | madkkee | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellKarolina Muchova29¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | −$2,855 −245% | — |
| 11d | iLoveFio | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka57¢ → 0¢ | $1,154 | −$1,154 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | Tobias1909 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova53¢ → 100¢ | $2,120 | +$1,880 +89% | 6 |
| 11d | Accomplished-FrameworkNew account | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | SellNaomi Osaka47¢ → 0¢ | $1,306 | +$1,306 +100% | — |
| 11d | omnibus-076daa | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka47¢ → 0¢ | $1,311 | −$1,311 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | nostrilboozie | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka26¢ → 0¢ | $1,176 | −$1,176 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | dmoralez2 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova81¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | +$575 +23% | 5 |
| 11d | Triplosettete | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova79¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$268 +27% | 5 |
| 11d | HomeRunHazard | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova76¢ → 100¢ | $4,295 | +$1,387 +32% | 6 |
| 11d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova55¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$3,109 +82% | 6 |
| 11d | Luzzzer | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova38¢ → 100¢ | $7,787 | +$12,473 +160% | 6 |
| 11d | roro.cypher | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka59¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | −$1,180 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | madkkee | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova61¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$1,568 +64% | 6 |
| 11d |  tradecraft | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova58¢ → 100¢ | $2,394 | +$1,703 +71% | 6 |
| 11d |  Eldshi | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka43¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | −$1,025 −100% | 6 |
| 11d |  Kangta6365 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka42¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | Kkunn | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova59¢ → 100¢ | $10,620 | +$7,380 +69% | 6 |
| 11d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova58¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$1,197 +72% | 6 |
| 11d |  nigiri992 fills | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka44¢ → 0¢ | $3,399 | −$3,399 −100% | 6 |
| 11d | JAMJAMJAM4 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyNaomi Osaka43¢ → 0¢ | $4,515 | −$4,515 −100% | 4 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | BuyKarolina Muchova57¢ → 100¢ | $6,187 | +$4,668 +75% | 4 |
Kangta63652,619 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Karolina Muchova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka means the market gives it about 100%.