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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 Winner | 0% | −81 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −69 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +81 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173d | sc1pt0x | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,184 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | MrGuessWho | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  doutrustlight | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $3,033 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Lne89 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,604 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Confused-Birthday | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $11,159 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  lord.nito | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | yohwowTheMagiccc | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,112 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | 17to10k | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,520 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | iolololo | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,123 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | ChallengerSpecialist | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,981 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | balabalababalabala | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,398 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Moneyminter.365 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,364 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | ST443hh | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,417 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Worthless-Payment | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $6,436 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | iluvdubnation | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,436 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Artfulone | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $3,032 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | kahe | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $97,290 | −$97 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Delightful-Dory | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,153 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Assad1979 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,284 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  Kangta6365 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,553 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Crowded-Aardvark | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,323 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | OlimpoDRoger | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $3,716 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | LFP272 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,344 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  alpheclabs | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,875 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  Dark-Shower | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,426 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Clawbangers | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,026 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  bbnnkkk | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,586 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  polikujh312 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,926 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Adornono | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,501 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  mrkenlin8877 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,980 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | LucianoRS | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,956 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Afh1994 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,634 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | moonwing | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,530 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Well-Lit-Cleric | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $11,755 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | RebornAthena | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,824 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Easy-CabinNew account | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,753 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | gamechanger001 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,245 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Beloved-Sweater | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,978 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Youandmetogether | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,101 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | 7ghreg | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,221 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | eokho | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $4,912 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | asimx | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | BRUCECAO | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 173d |  cryptojo | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,588 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 173d | chrislad | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 173d | Dark-Shower | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,413 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 173d | bbnnkkk | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $1,883 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 173d | 0x77f9…feaf | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | −$13 −0.7% | — |
| 173d | 987uyguh | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 173d | neutralwave23 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 173d | swisstony | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka99¢ → 100¢ | $5,030 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 173d | iluvdubnation | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$36 +3.1% | 4 |
| 173d | SplendidAmadeus2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka89¢ → 100¢ | $2,378 | +$297 +13% | 5 |
| 173d | RichRa | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $3,262 | −$208 −6.4% | — |
| 173d | 0x4a20…ae0f | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | +$207 +5.3% | 4 |
| 173d | 12f842n2e76 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | −$66 −6.4% | — |
| 173d |  ponczyk | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | SellAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $22,030 | −$1,406 −6.4% | — |
| 173d | kahe | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $21,222 | +$1,355 +6.4% | 4 |
| 173d | WAGGY | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | +$108 +6.4% | 4 |
| 173d |  tradecraft2 fills | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BuyAryna Sabalenka87¢ → 100¢ | $6,761 | +$1,045 +15% | 5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Naomi Osaka. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka means the market gives it about 100%.