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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 1 Winner | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 2 Winner | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d | tennischamp | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | SellAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $57,016 | −$57 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | BunCaCham | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka>99¢ | $2,218 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 71d | swisstony2 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka97¢ → 100¢ | $10,545 | +$275 +2.6% | 4 |
| 71d | SchruteBucks | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | SellAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$68 −6.4% | — |
| 71d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka95¢ → 100¢ | $19,304 | +$1,034 +5.4% | 4 |
| 71d | SchruteBucks | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka91¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$150 +9.9% | 5 |
| 71d |  one8tyfive | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka90¢ → 100¢ | $9,460 | +$1,051 +11% | 5 |
| 71d |  MagicBounce | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka92¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$111 +8.7% | 5 |
| 71d | unknownloser1 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyShuai Zhang9¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 71d | Atn | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | BuyOver56¢ → 100¢ | $2,408 | +$1,892 +79% | 6 |
| 71d | beeemw | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$128 +6.4% | 4 |
| 71d |  User1244322 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyShuai Zhang6¢ → 0¢ | $3,164 | −$3,164 −100% | 4 |
| 71d | tennischamp | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $11,273 | +$720 +6.4% | 4 |
| 71d | 0F628 fills | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $102,854 | +$6,633 +6.4% | 4 |
| 71d | Raccoon9200 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka93¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$78 +7.5% | 4 |
| 71d | comon119 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $9,400 | +$600 +6.4% | 4 |
| 72d | 0000. | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$511 +6.4% | 4 |
| 72d | KevinEZM427 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang | BuyAryna Sabalenka94¢ → 100¢ | $11,992 | +$765 +6.4% | 4 |
User124432253,031 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Shuai Zhang in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Shuai Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Shuai Zhang' if Shuai Zhang advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Shuai Zhang means the market gives it about 100%.