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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set 1 Winner | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | _test_i075_i078_1 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | SellElise Mertens>99¢ | $6,504 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | XYZ1337 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | SellElise Mertens>99¢ | $2,916 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | _test_i075_i078_1 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens95¢ → 100¢ | $6,097 | +$319 +5.2% | 4 |
| 14d | XYZ1337 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens86¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$419 +17% | 5 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyKatie Volynets45¢ → 0¢ | $1,291 | −$1,291 −100% | 6 |
| 14d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyKatie Volynets30¢ → 0¢ | $5,241 | −$5,241 −100% | 6 |
| 14d | AGUGava | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | SellKatie Volynets26¢ → 0¢ | $5,226 | +$5,226 +100% | — |
| 14d | flatbarrel | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | SellKatie Volynets32¢ → 0¢ | $2,785 | +$2,785 +100% | — |
| 14d | 0x4f3 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens63¢ → 100¢ | $1,701 | +$999 +59% | 6 |
| 14d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens62¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$612 +60% | 6 |
| 14d | Substantial-Service | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens65¢ → 100¢ | $13,597 | +$7,439 +55% | 6 |
| 14d |  RN1 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens63¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$666 +59% | 6 |
| 14d |  tradecraft | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens63¢ → 100¢ | $5,670 | +$3,330 +59% | 6 |
| 14d | Eztennis2 fills | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyKatie Volynets36¢ → 0¢ | $43,417 | −$43,417 −100% | 6 |
| 14d | AGUGava | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyKatie Volynets28¢ → 0¢ | $5,514 | −$5,514 −100% | 6 |
| 14d | omnibus-076daa | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyKatie Volynets19¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | −$1,088 −100% | 6 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues5 fills | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens83¢ → 100¢ | $13,383 | +$2,805 +21% | 5 |
| 14d | n1ck10s | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | SellElise Mertens97¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | −$38 −3.6% | — |
| 14d | HomeRunHazard | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens96¢ → 100¢ | $8,163 | +$358 +4.4% | 4 |
| 14d | blancnoirchat | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 4 |
| 14d | johnnnnnnn | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens97¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$35 +3.2% | 4 |
| 14d | Obvious-Misunderstand-MattockNew account | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | SellElise Mertens93¢ → 100¢ | $1,583 | −$115 −7.3% | — |
| 14d | Miserly-Synod | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens96¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$208 +4.2% | 4 |
| 14d | jtwyslljy2 fills | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyKatie Volynets29¢ → 0¢ | $2,795 | −$2,795 −100% | 6 |
| 14d | RanaAmariPredicts2 fills | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens54¢ → 100¢ | $14,857 | +$12,830 +86% | 6 |
| 14d | Oleocanthal | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BuyElise Mertens54¢ → 100¢ | $4,895 | +$4,242 +87% | 6 |
| 14d | RanaAmariPredicts | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | SellElise Mertens52¢ → 100¢ | $4,906 | −$4,528 −92% | — |
| 16d | 0x7469…25a7 | Completed Match | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,271 | +$261 +4.2% | 4 |
TRCM9,016 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Katie Volynets and Elise Mertens in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Katie Volynets. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens means the market gives it about 0%.