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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $75 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $85 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $84 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $83 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $82 | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $81 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $80 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $79 | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $78 | 0% | −79 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $77 | 0% | −89 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $76 | 0% | −94 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73d | nakam | $75 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,369 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | nakam2 fills | $84 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,520 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 73d | C03B | $75 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,985 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d | GoingGangrene | $75 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 73d | nakam | $76 | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,049 | +$1,049 +100% | — |
| 73d | C03B | $77 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$118 +9.9% | 7 |
| 74d | 0x8896…aad6 | $80 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.0% | 5 |
| 74d | C03B | $85 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,178 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 74d | $79 | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,185 | −$1,185 −100% | 10 | |
| 74d | nakam | $84 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,467 | +$103 +4.2% | 5 |
| 74d | nakam | $80 | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,820 | −$1,820 −100% | 6 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on August 4?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $75 means the market gives it about 100%.