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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30%+ | 100% | +53 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 25%+ | 100% | +40 pts | +67 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| 40%+ | 100% | +4 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50%+ | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
Contentious-Dinnerdate150 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by FJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30%+ means the market gives it about 100%.
