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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-60% | 100% | +4 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <50% | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-70% | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-80% | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80%+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
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Betta-fish3 shares
AMAM1369 sharesThe first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 50-60% means the market gives it about 100%.