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Polymarket wallet 0x09cc4da8a3e39237aa74b445a300565e33d0421a · on Polymarket since Nov 30, 2025 · also shown as Shabby-Crate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 23,163 | 49¢ → 81¢ | $18,647 | +$7,204 +63% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20,459 | 36¢ → 32¢ | $6,547 | −$916 −12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 14,456 | 39¢ → 40¢ | $5,710 | +$122 +2.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,774 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $5,250 | +$660 +14% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,787 | 62¢ → 47¢ | $2,226 | −$747 −25% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.