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Polymarket wallet 0x12406dccf3bd2901ff09b01aa3717aff60541468 · on Polymarket since Feb 20, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,083 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $200 | −$900 −82% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,815 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,386 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,973 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,384 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,676 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$450 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $1,100 |
| 232d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $500 |
| 232d | Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes5¢ | $100 |
| 232d | Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes4¢ | $100 |
| 232d | Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes4¢ | $450 |
| 232d | Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes4¢ | $200 |
| 237d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo18¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.