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Polymarket wallet 0x1483de8c4793242a7c8bc9b0ee937af8a0dc1dc7 · on Polymarket since Oct 5, 2026 · also shown as Knowing-Career
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Ends in 7h | Yes | 50 | 56¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$21 +74% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Ends in 16d | No | 50 | 52¢ → 41¢ | $21 | −$6 −21% |
| Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 31¢ | $15 | +$7 +91% |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 6d | No | 50 | 54¢ → 23¢ | $11 | −$16 −58% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 33¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$14 −82% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$6 −72% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 2 | 31¢ → 13¢ | $0 | −$0 −60% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.