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Polymarket wallet 0x1caf3911383d01db8ab6867fdf438fb4837e7e68 · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Lavish-Morsel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $1 |
| 45d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BuyDown70¢ | $1 |
| 51d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BuyUp90¢ | $1 |
| 89d | Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | SellNo94¢ | $1 |
| 112d | Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | BuyColombia90¢ | $1 |
| 140d | Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
| 203d | Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $14 |
| 231d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ | $21 |
| 231d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $21 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.