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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,881 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $46 | −$146 −76% |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115d | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $25 |
| 116d | Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? | BuyYes44¢ | $20 |
| 117d | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $60 |
| 118d | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $5 |
| 118d | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $3 |
| 118d | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.