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Polymarket wallet 0x2908f810293fe0280bcb6f8e37e2fc22423091f5 · on Polymarket since Aug 24, 2026 · also shown as Buoyant-Wren-Proportion
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,917 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $5,237 | +$178 +3.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,143 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $2,003 | +$17 +0.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 868 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $849 | +$23 +2.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 797 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $745 | +$52 +7.5% |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 736 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $666 | +$34 +5.5% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 658 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $569 | +$69 +14% |
| Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 515 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $479 | +$79 +20% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | Yes | 367 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $301 | −$22 −6.9% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 334 | 60¢ → 81¢ | $269 | +$69 +34% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 111 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $91 | −$9 −8.7% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 27 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.