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Polymarket wallet 0x2aded237a4148940d8c59331fb5d1b3c09c582d5 · on Polymarket since Nov 9, 2025 · also shown as This-Refuse
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,904 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$952 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,986 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$993 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5,800 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,900 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,444 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$722 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $952 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $933 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $993 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $160 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $521 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $450 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $480 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $395 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $345 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $340 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $370 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $722 |
| 342d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $849 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.