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Polymarket wallet 0x2afcbda74471d7f20eea2c943e546dfb0974af31 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2024 · also shown as Anguished-Heron
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 111 | 27¢ → 22¢ | $24 | −$6 −20% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo play at UEFA Euro 2028?Ends in 653d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 46 | 11¢ → 20¢ | $9 | +$4 +84% |
| Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 145 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Will Cristiano Ronaldo play at UEFA Euro 2028? | BuyYes25¢ | $10 |
| 3d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $10 |
| 3d | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo11¢ | $5 |
| 3d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $21 |
| 7d | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | BuyYes40¢ | $10 |
| 93d | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? | BuyYes54¢ | $10 |
| 102d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SellYes33¢ | $17 |
| 104d | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BuyYes62¢ | $10 |
| 107d | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BuyYes68¢ | $35 |
| 260d | Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-29? | BuyYes21¢ | $1 |
| 261d | Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? | BuyNo17¢ | $10 |
| 261d | Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? | BuyNo23¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.