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Polymarket wallet 0x3bec478fe95d0111b832504574af4b42689fb7b4 · on Polymarket since Sep 24, 2026 · also shown as Dishonest-Neighbor-Congressperson
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SellNo89¢ | $5 |
| 11d | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | SellNo75¢ | $5 |
| 19d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BuyNo4¢ | $1 |
| 20d | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BuyNo8¢ | $1 |
| 22d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 23d | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BuyNo89¢ | $5 |
| 23d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 23d | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BuyNo74¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.