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Polymarket wallet 0x3e9e38da8c88b1b8368f98837683912ea3289b4e · on Polymarket since Apr 17, 2026 · also shown as Drab-Repeat
Kelly Criterion = p/a − q/b
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dogecoin Up or Down - August 14, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 34 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,330 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,308 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - August 10, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 139 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 29 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,100 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,034 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.