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Polymarket wallet 0x40e0d8e49ac35623b3d4ce09625b5c57ffddfc71 · on Polymarket since Feb 10, 2026 · also shown as Frayed-Warning
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 150 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 304 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 152 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 152 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 151 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | Solana Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $150 |
| 242d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $152 |
| 242d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $76 |
| 242d | XRP Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $76 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $76 |
| 243d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $75 |
| 243d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $76 |
| 244d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $76 |
| 244d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $76 |
| 245d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $73 |
| 245d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $74 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.