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Polymarket wallet 0x45a22737a76fafd5dd101eb0dc6030986eb13c01 · on Polymarket since Jun 16, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 17,938 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $15,579 | +$1,077 +7.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 17,938 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $2,063 | −$1,217 −37% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 268 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $237 | +$15 +6.9% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 267 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $31 | −$13 −30% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $22 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 27 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $5 | −$1 −22% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 41¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$9 −87% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,763 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.