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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +64% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102d | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026? | BuyYes61¢ | $3 |
| 107d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes35¢ | $1 |
| 108d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes19¢ | $1 |
| 110d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes23¢ | $1 |
| 110d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 110d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes23¢ | $1 |
| 113d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes15¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.