exotana

Polymarket wallet 0x4cd38c016d49bc293623186350dc564564a2bfb3 · on Polymarket since Feb 1, 2026 · also shown as Failing-Rawhide

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$91.9
Volume traded: $64K
All-time rank: #2,586,787
Markets traded: 147
Recent hit rate: 54%27 of last 50 closed

Open positions

88 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	498	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	20	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	59	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$19 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	523	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$46 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$120 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	299	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$33 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	712	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$140 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	120	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$32 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	200	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	852	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$144 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	214	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2,299	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$47 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	200	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	70	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$96 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	49	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	635	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$46 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	800	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$160 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,500	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$85 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,199	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$140 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$120 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6,000	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	800	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	446	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$127 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3,398	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$356 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	36	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	37	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	386	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$120 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	31	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	166	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	299	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$60 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,783	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$140 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	30	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	167	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown1¢	$10
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown2¢	$20
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown8¢	$56
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown33¢	$49
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown24¢	$50
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	SellUp67¢	$40
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown38¢	$50
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown64¢	$100
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$8
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$13
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$10
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$3
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$8
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$21
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$9
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$3
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$5
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$3
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$8
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$4
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$8
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$10
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$9
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$2
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$11
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$8
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$0
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$2
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$0
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$2
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$4
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$12
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$14
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$5
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$2
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$12
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$6
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$3
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$13
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$2
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$1
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$5
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$21
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$17
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyUp35¢	$4
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$4
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$17
250d	Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp31¢	$19

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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