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Polymarket wallet 0x4d39024879b4b6bc5456abfd07799866ecbeea45 · on Polymarket since Sep 25, 2026 · also shown as Offensive-Methodology-Mandolin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 3,743 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $3,444 | −$56 −1.6% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ | $3,500 |
| 4d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,492 |
| 21d | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $164 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.