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Polymarket wallet 0x513ae36065ffc9b0d71db0643f1fc113cc2a3b2c · on Polymarket since Apr 24, 2026 · also shown as Nice-Barrel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 138 | 39¢ → 100¢ | $138 | +$84 +158% |
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Ends in 75d | Yes | 265 | 9¢ → 5¢ | $12 | −$13 −52% |
| Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 243 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 166d | Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | BuyYes11¢ | $5 |
| 166d | Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | BuyYes9¢ | $21 |
| 166d | Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | SellYes29¢ | $23 |
| 166d | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BuyYes35¢ | $51 |
| 166d | Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | BuyYes31¢ | $103 |
| 169d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BuyUp11¢ | $5 |
| 169d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $163 |
| 174d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BuyNo39¢ | $53 |
| 174d | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | SellYes9¢ | $53 |
| 175d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo27¢ | $44 |
| 175d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | SellNo23¢ | $43 |
| 177d | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BuyNo53¢ | $100 |
| 177d | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.