KnightianUncertainty

Polymarket wallet 0x58e1cc79a118abab0d93161fa7984dd2297ff652 · on Polymarket since Aug 7, 2024 · also shown as Yellowish-Wit

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $2.76K
All-time profit: +$1.85K
Volume traded: $53.3K
All-time rank: #55,439
Markets traded: 51
Recent hit rate: 65%26 of last 40 closed

Open positions

13 markets · $2.76K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d	No	1,643	24¢ → 43¢	$698	+$298 +75%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	No	2,037	29¢ → 33¢	$662	+$62 +10%
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	990	50¢ → 65¢	$644	+$144 +29%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 226d	No	1,000	50¢ → 54¢	$535	+$35 +7.0%
Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?Ends in 204d	No	156	90¢ → 88¢	$138	−$2 −1.7%
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d	Yes	1,667	12¢ → 2¢	$40	−$160 −80%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	122	16¢ → 28¢	$35	+$15 +74%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?Ends in 409d	No	19	27¢ → 38¢	$7	+$2 +39%
South Alabama vs. TulaneSettled - ready to redeem	South Alabama	543	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	450	67¢ → 0¢	$0	−$302 −100%
Alabama vs. KentuckySettled - ready to redeem	Kentucky	533	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$234 −100%
Northwestern vs. IndianaSettled - ready to redeem	Northwestern	435	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Houston vs. Texas TechSettled - ready to redeem	Houston	610	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
3d	Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	BuyNo90¢	$140
12d	Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes50¢	$500
15d	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo16¢	$20
17d	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	SellNo95¢	$121
18d	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	SellNo80¢	$102
18d	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	BuyYes12¢	$207
21d	Northwestern vs. Indiana	BuyNorthwestern23¢	$100
21d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	BuyNo29¢	$40
21d	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	SellNo76¢	$194
21d	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	SellNo90¢	$41
21d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	BuyNo50¢	$500
21d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	BuyNo29¢	$600
21d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	BuyNo22¢	$20
21d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	BuyNo22¢	$140
22d	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	BuyNo25¢	$200
22d	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	SellNo91¢	$1,028
22d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellNo77¢	$1,419
28d	Houston vs. Texas Tech	BuyHouston41¢	$257
31d	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	BuyNo59¢	$300
34d	South Alabama vs. Tulane	BuySouth Alabama46¢	$257
34d	Arizona vs. BYU	SellArizona21¢	$148
34d	Alabama vs. Kentucky	BuyKentucky44¢	$241
34d	Arizona vs. BYU	BuyArizona41¢	$309
34d	Alabama vs. Kentucky	SellAlabama59¢	$267
34d	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	SellOklahoma State>99¢	$244
34d	Alabama vs. Kentucky	BuyAlabama65¢	$305
34d	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	BuyOklahoma State81¢	$101
34d	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	BuyOklahoma State83¢	$101
39d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?	BuyNo27¢	$5
41d	Idaho State vs. Utah State	SellIdaho State>99¢	$551
41d	Idaho State vs. Utah State	BuyIdaho State50¢	$282
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	SellColorado27¢	$221
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	BuyColorado29¢	$511
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	SellGeorgia Tech71¢	$350
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	BuyGeorgia Tech78¢	$114
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	BuyGeorgia Tech78¢	$98
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	BuyGeorgia Tech78¢	$4
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	BuyGeorgia Tech78¢	$4
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	BuyGeorgia Tech78¢	$98
43d	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	BuyGeorgia Tech78¢	$75
43d	UMass vs. Rutgers	SellUMass>99¢	$499
43d	UMass vs. Rutgers	BuyUMass72¢	$365
46d	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo78¢	$355
46d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	SellYes42¢	$408
48d	North Carolina vs. TCU	SellNorth Carolina>99¢	$999
48d	North Carolina vs. TCU	BuyNorth Carolina57¢	$582
49d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes50¢	$513
70d	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	BuyNo79¢	$36
81d	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo74¢	$505
102d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo40¢	$200
102d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	SellNo90¢	$340
114d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	BuyNo53¢	$200
119d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BuyNo15¢	$200
119d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	SellNo94¢	$802
128d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo93¢	$60
128d	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	SellNo84¢	$60
138d	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	BuyNo86¢	$62
143d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	SellYes2¢	$30
143d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	SellYes5¢	$32
170d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	BuyNo52¢	$306

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 40 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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