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Polymarket wallet 0x5a8fde6c97a0a9773ee237292922fc030bd39ff7 · on Polymarket since Jun 17, 2025 · also shown as First-Basement
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 21¢ → 100¢ | $57 | +$45 +376% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US military action against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 77 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 486d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyYes21¢ | $12 |
| 486d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | BuyYes12¢ | $15 |
| 486d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyNo33¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.