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Polymarket wallet 0x5ad1e4081afdb41155eea2e030ecb5b68976a80e · on Polymarket since Feb 6, 2026 · also shown as Elementary-Radiator
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $54 | +$14 +36% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 66¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$10 +50% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +20% |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 18 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | PARIVISION | 14 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.