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Polymarket wallet 0x6306ed35f5c46f765614018fde1ab8c881c91cda · on Polymarket since Feb 26, 2026 · also shown as Arid-Affect
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17h | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BuyDown70¢ | $1 |
| 31d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BuyUp25¢ | $2 |
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BuyUp48¢ | $1 |
| 112d | Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BuyNo89¢ | $1 |
| 140d | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 31? | BuyNo69¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | SellNo99¢ | $28 |
| 233d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | BuyNo99¢ | $28 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.