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Polymarket wallet 0x7dba34f1e612652d96c3f7e4d881e73b34352bcf · on Polymarket since Dec 4, 2025 · also shown as Dearest-Alpaca
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 109 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 221 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 981 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$169 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BuyDown24¢ | $54 |
| 251d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | SellDown90¢ | $54 |
| 251d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BuyDown63¢ | $38 |
| 312d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $54 |
| 312d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes3¢ | $54 |
| 312d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $56 |
| 312d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes1¢ | $56 |
| 312d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $67 |
| 312d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3PM ET | SellUp4¢ | $67 |
| 312d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3PM ET | BuyUp36¢ | $546 |
| 312d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BuyDown17¢ | $169 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.