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Polymarket wallet 0x81ca815539eb9c131b72a1ada3527ff21e8f68dc · on Polymarket since Dec 11, 2025 · also shown as Silver-Set
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 917 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,314 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 125 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BuyUp49¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | SellUp99¢ | $11 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BuyUp90¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BuyUp89¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BuyUp69¢ | $5 |
| 11d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5? | BuyNo<1¢ | $20 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BuyDown87¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BuyUp55¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SellUp>99¢ | $11 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BuyUp44¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BuyUp3¢ | $5 |
| 261d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes29¢ | $13 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.