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Polymarket wallet 0x86b1dd5828506f90ce89075ef2c65fcab39b8c43 · on Polymarket since Aug 25, 2025 · also shown as Miserly-Litmus
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$20 +25% |
| Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 62 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Israel strikes Yemen again by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 53 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 417d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? | BuyNo57¢ | $30 |
| 417d | Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31? | BuyNo82¢ | $51 |
| 417d | Israel strikes Yemen again by September 15? | BuyNo45¢ | $31 |
| 417d | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ | $80 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.