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Polymarket wallet 0x86de250e6a6ca5402e8cf093166d158b3354f172 · on Polymarket since Dec 12, 2025 · also shown as Flustered-Spool
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 757 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$379 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - December 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,333 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,167 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 618 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$309 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 530 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$265 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 923 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$462 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75d | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $12 |
| 79d | XRP Up or Down - July 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 83d | Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 87d | XRP Up or Down - July 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 92d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2 |
| 92d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1 |
| 96d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 96d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2 |
| 230d | Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5 | BuyOver50¢ | $265 |
| 304d | Solana Up or Down - December 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,167 |
| 305d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $484 |
| 305d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $379 |
| 305d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 8AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $52 |
| 305d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 7AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $217 |
| 305d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 7AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $93 |
| 305d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 6AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $462 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.