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Polymarket wallet 0x9dceb9e04ec1a859d2e30bf3cd9fce3090062888 · on Polymarket since Nov 30, 2025 · also shown as Frayed-Affidavit
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 47 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 360 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BuyDown4¢ | $2 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $0 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $0 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $0 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $0 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $0 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $0 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $1 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $1 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $0 |
| 314d | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 315d | Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 316d | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BuyYes21¢ | $20 |
| 316d | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BuyYes20¢ | $21 |
| 321d | Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BuyYes23¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.