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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 2 | 59¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$1 −87% |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199d | Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? | SellNo42¢ | $3 |
| 199d | Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? | BuyNo72¢ | $5 |
| 199d | Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 199d | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026? | BuyYes85¢ | $1 |
| 204d | Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.