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Polymarket wallet 0xac874791f5b16bcc1e2768af135784bd65faae28 · on Polymarket since Feb 19, 2026 · also shown as Pessimistic-Goal
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30,590 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $352 | −$559 −61% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 155 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,220 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,183 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 17 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.