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Polymarket wallet 0xb436d7c8f9fb7bd61ab06e47d708d0df291a8258 · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2025 · also shown as Inconsequential-Optimization
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,323 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$215 −100% |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 281 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win more than 34% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 398 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 230 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 889 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.