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Polymarket wallet 0xb4bd61fa46d82307dbf8dbab402dc1fb254e6577 · on Polymarket since Mar 14, 2025 · also shown as Positive-Warrior
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,078 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$78 +7.8% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,843 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,000 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 581d | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | BuyNo93¢ | $1,000 |
| 582d | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes28¢ | $5,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.