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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57d | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
| 65d | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BuyYes84¢ | $1 |
| 73d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.