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Polymarket wallet 0xbd3f2ac75e762249d2a98b4f2dd7447c5e3c5edc · on Polymarket since Jun 13, 2024 · also shown as Happy-Go-Lucky-Lad
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of between 1.16°C and 1.22°C?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 34¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$6 +194% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 35¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$6 +186% |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +61% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 856d | Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of between 1.16°C and 1.22°C? | BuyYes34¢ | $3 |
| 856d | Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? | BuyYes33¢ | $2 |
| 856d | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | BuyYes35¢ | $3 |
| 856d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September? | BuyYes56¢ | $2 |
| 856d | Fed rate cut by September 18? | BuyYes62¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.