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Polymarket wallet 0xbf3d039c09f6df58c5efbf3b8e271850d9d3864c · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024 · also shown as Muffled-Incidence
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 358d | Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | BuyYes10¢ | $28 |
| 358d | Kraken IPO in 2025? | BuyYes6¢ | $30 |
| 358d | Pepe ETF in 2025? | BuyYes7¢ | $50 |
| 358d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $50 |
| 358d | US forces in Venezuela by October 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $50 |
| 358d | Will Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025? | BuyYes1¢ | $100 |
| 358d | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes13¢ | $100 |
| 358d | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $300 |
| 358d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $300 |
| 445d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $200 |
| 445d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $500 |
| 445d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $283 |
| 707d | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November? | BuyYes44¢ | $15 |
| 710d | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BuyYes14¢ | $996 |
| 710d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes61¢ | $9 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.