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Polymarket wallet 0xbf4e403c91e45addd4689f9acfe9a2b175b4e8fc · on Polymarket since Nov 22, 2025 · also shown as Knobby-Stalk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - November 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,900 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,450 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,800 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,400 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,410 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,705 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179d | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | SellYes13¢ | $60 |
| 179d | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BuyYes14¢ | $64 |
| 254d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6? | BuyDown50¢ | $10 |
| 254d | Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 6? | BuyUp50¢ | $11 |
| 268d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,705 |
| 268d | Solana Up or Down - January 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,579 |
| 268d | Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 22? | BuyUp50¢ | $1,665 |
| 268d | Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown50¢ | $1,712 |
| 316d | Accenture (ACN) Up or Down After Earnings? | BuyDown50¢ | $9 |
| 316d | Chewy (CHWY) Up or Down After Earnings? | BuyUp50¢ | $7 |
| 329d | Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,400 |
| 329d | Solana Up or Down - November 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,468 |
| 329d | XRP Up or Down - November 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,450 |
| 329d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,445 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.