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Polymarket wallet 0xbf863e1e821c0f2e204fb7f9a9b221ec8bd8a78d · on Polymarket since Feb 9, 2026 · also shown as Busy-Trance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BuyDown92¢ | $1 |
| 44d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BuyDown92¢ | $1 |
| 51d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BuyDown94¢ | $1 |
| 96d | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SellYes28¢ | $0 |
| 112d | Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? | BuyNo89¢ | $1 |
| 141d | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyYes77¢ | $1 |
| 177d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | BuyDown77¢ | $11 |
| 201d | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 1? | BuyYes5¢ | $0 |
| 250d | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SellNo97¢ | $0 |
| 250d | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SellNo97¢ | $15 |
| 250d | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BuyNo97¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.