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Polymarket wallet 0xc51ade49265b2e51c50488b63f0fddeaf37d417d · on Polymarket since Oct 19, 2025 · also shown as Orange-Barn
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,880 | 64¢ → 73¢ | $1,363 | +$160 +13% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,056 | 35¢ → 28¢ | $290 | −$79 −21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6,270 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,135 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 22,745 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11,373 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,892 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$946 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9,097 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,549 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 23,406 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11,703 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.