| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $44B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 665 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $648 | +$76 +13% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $62B?Ends in 10d | No | 706 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $537 | −$46 −7.9% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 488 | 55¢ → 54¢ | $264 | −$4 −1.4% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?Ends in 8h | Yes | 149 | 57¢ → >99¢ | $148 | +$63 +75% |
| Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$3 +2.6% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 480 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $76 | −$17 −18% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $56B?Ends in 10d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 68¢ | $68 | −$12 −15% |
| Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?Ends in 16d | Yes | 136 | 36¢ → 48¢ | $65 | +$17 +34% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?Ends in 10d | No | 59 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $58 | +$5 +8.8% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?Ends in 8h | No | 50 | 78¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$11 +28% |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?Ends in 16d | No | 227 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $45 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?Ends in 16d | No | 100 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $35 | −$3 −6.8% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 59 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $17 | +$3 +23% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 19?Ends in 2d | No | 33 | 77¢ → 47¢ | $16 | −$10 −39% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 57¢ | $12 | +$6 +121% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?Ends ended | Yes | 41 | 56¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$12 −50% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 33¢ → 47¢ | $9 | +$3 +41% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30?Ends in 13d | No | 15 | 80¢ → 54¢ | $8 | −$4 −33% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 22?Ends in 5d | No | 16 | 76¢ → 45¢ | $7 | −$5 −41% |
| Will Chris Pappas underperform Kamala in New Hampshire?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | 26¢ → 17¢ | $3 | −$2 −37% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $62B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3 | 13¢ → 24¢ | $1 | +$0 +85% |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on October 17?Ends in 8h | No | 40 | 35¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$14 −98% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?Ends in 8h | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −95% |
| Will James Eisenstein win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E41?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Shit" or "Shitty" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "Trade" or "Traded" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Falcons vs Packers game?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Smelter" during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 280 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will anyone say "Family" during Big Brother E41?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will John Preskill win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on September 26, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E37?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Utah have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Stéphane Mallat win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on September 25, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Sanctuary" during his rally in North Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Ewine van Dishoeck win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on September 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Hell" during his rally in North Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Palestine" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will John Pendry win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on September 25, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 195 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 57 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be under 5.3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 430 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$231 −100% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Ingrid Daubechies win the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 177 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "ICE" during his rally in Oklahoma?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 198 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$173 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Spain" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 212 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 229 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 96 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
