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Polymarket wallet 0xcaf636746133e6991b0e57b520e3c0e24c7c3192 · on Polymarket since Feb 4, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$5 +49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BuyUp71¢ | $5 |
| 155d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BuyUp64¢ | $5 |
| 186d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BuyDown58¢ | $7 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BuyDown55¢ | $2 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BuyDown97¢ | $16 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BuyUp42¢ | $3 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BuyDown98¢ | $3 |
| 190d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BuyDown82¢ | $7 |
| 191d | Will Melania say "Peace" or "War" 4+ times during statement on April 9? | BuyYes1¢ | $7 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.