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Polymarket wallet 0xce7c7da4a14a6279e47d3821c9aebe0cc398dcc2 · on Polymarket since Nov 27, 2025 · also shown as Radiant-Backup
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 284 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 255 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 148 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$99 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 110 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 337 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BuyUp47¢ | $40 |
| 187d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BuyUp38¢ | $10 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BuyDown19¢ | $10 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BuyDown18¢ | $5 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BuyDown28¢ | $10 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BuyDown5¢ | $15 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $10 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BuyUp9¢ | $10 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BuyUp3¢ | $9 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BuyUp11¢ | $10 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BuyUp36¢ | $10 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BuyUp26¢ | $10 |
| 324d | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BuyYes<1¢ | $99 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.