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Polymarket wallet 0xceca614a48304fba8b4267acdb294b52a6651270 · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2026 · also shown as Definitive-Ball
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +209% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp68¢ | $3 |
| 219d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $0 |
| 219d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $0 |
| 219d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BuyUp17¢ | $1 |
| 219d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BuyUp32¢ | $2 |
| 219d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BuyUp87¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.