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Polymarket wallet 0xd033bcf36385b6885df51c5ffec3de0fafadbd40 · on Polymarket since Feb 24, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes19¢ | $5 |
| 229d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes41¢ | $20 |
| 231d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | SellYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 231d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 234d | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 234d | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | BuyNo2¢ | $2 |
| 234d | US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | BuyYes28¢ | $6 |
| 234d | Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SellYes64¢ | $10 |
| 235d | Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes65¢ | $10 |
| 235d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 235d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo12¢ | $2 |
| 235d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes11¢ | $2 |
| 235d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes4¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.